Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.001825 0.001932 0.002043 0.002166 0.002299 0.002439 0.002598
2025-05-18 0.001662 0.001814 0.001976 0.002165 0.002378 0.002612 0.002890
2025-05-25 0.001525 0.001701 0.001895 0.002128 0.002399 0.002709 0.003090
2025-06-01 0.001428 0.001621 0.001840 0.002108 0.002430 0.002808 0.003291
2025-06-08 0.001367 0.001575 0.001817 0.002119 0.002493 0.002943 0.003536
2025-06-15 0.001299 0.001517 0.001773 0.002101 0.002513 0.003023 0.003713
2025-06-22 0.001245 0.001471 0.001741 0.002092 0.002543 0.003113 0.003903
2025-06-29 0.001192 0.001422 0.001701 0.002070 0.002553 0.003176 0.004059
2025-07-06 0.001141 0.001375 0.001661 0.002044 0.002554 0.003224 0.004196
2025-07-13 0.001083 0.001314 0.001601 0.001989 0.002514 0.003213 0.004247
2025-07-20 0.001056 0.001292 0.001588 0.001996 0.002555 0.003313 0.004460
2025-07-27 0.001035 0.001277 0.001584 0.002012 0.002609 0.003433 0.004707
2025-08-03 0.001024 0.001276 0.001601 0.002062 0.002716 0.003641 0.005110
2025-08-10 0.000997 0.001253 0.001588 0.002068 0.002762 0.003763 0.005394
2025-08-17 0.000957 0.001212 0.001547 0.002035 0.002749 0.003798 0.005541
2025-08-24 0.000925 0.001180 0.001519 0.002017 0.002757 0.003862 0.005739
2025-08-31 0.000906 0.001164 0.001511 0.002028 0.002808 0.003994 0.006059
2025-09-07 0.000878 0.001136 0.001485 0.002010 0.002814 0.004056 0.006262
2025-09-14 0.000855 0.001113 0.001465 0.002002 0.002832 0.004138 0.006507
2025-09-21 0.000830 0.001086 0.001439 0.001982 0.002832 0.004188 0.006698
2025-09-28 0.000805 0.001058 0.001411 0.001957 0.002823 0.004222 0.006861
2025-10-05 0.000772 0.001020 0.001366 0.001905 0.002767 0.004176 0.006870
2025-10-12 0.000759 0.001008 0.001359 0.001912 0.002806 0.004292 0.007194